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    29 June 2005

    2 Atlantic Hurricanes this June - FREAK OUT!!!

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    Ooops... We don't do that here, but this is the type of idea the MSM would express in order to tease your senses. They would try to tell you that the current tropical system, Brett, and the earlier system, Arlene, is an unusual event for June and that we are in a horrible hurricane season; which would mean things are returning back to normal. Anyway Dr. Masters has looked into any connection but found none, most recently 1986 when two June storms led the way into a dud of a season.

    Masters 3rd paragraph is interesting (I've added one link)
    Examination of other Junes reveals that there is no significant correlation between June tropical storm activity and the rest of hurricane season. However, the position and intensity of the Bermuda High and sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic are more typical of what things should be like a month from now. We are already beginning to see strong tropical waves with impressive satellite presentations come off the coast of Africa, and that is unusual for June. In fact, the GFS model takes one of those waves and develops it into a hurricane next week as it sweeps north of the Leeward Islands, past Bermuda around July 6, then out to sea. It will be interesting to see if the GFS model is correct. If so, this would likely be the harbinger of an active hurricane season.


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